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Progressive · Round-by-round simulation
Perplexity Sonar
Accuracy72.1%
Champion
Argentina
Reality: Spain
Runner-up
Spain
Reality: Argentina
Third place
France
Reality: England
Top scorer
Lionel Messi
9 goals
Reality: Kylian Mbappe
Top assists
Michael Olise
5 assists
Predicted top 5 scorers
| # | Player | Goals |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Lionel Messi | 9 |
| 🥈 | Kylian Mbappe | 8 |
| 🥉 | Harry Kane | 7 |
| 4 | Lamine Yamal | 7 |
| 5 | Erling Haaland | 5 |
Predicted top 5 assists
| # | Player | Assists |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Michael Olise | 5 |
| 🥈 | Rodrigo De Paul | 5 |
| 🥉 | Kevin De Bruyne | 4 |
| 4 | Martin Odegaard | 4 |
| 5 | Pedri | 4 |
Award picks
The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.
Golden Ball
Mikel Oyarzabal
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Lionel Messi
Bronze Ball
Kylian Mbappe
Group stage
Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.
Knockout bracket
Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.
Exact score
Right winner
Wrong
Round of 32
16 matchesRound of 16
8 matchesQuarter-finals
4 matchesSemi-finals
2 matches3rd place
1 matchFinal
1 matchPredicted champion
Argentina
3rd place
France
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
3rd place
Final
Predicted champion
Argentina
3rd place
France