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Progressive · Round-by-round simulation

Grok 4.20

Accuracy72.5%
Champion
Spain
Runner-up
Argentina
Third place
France
Reality: England
Top scorer
Lionel Messi
12 goals
Reality: Kylian Mbappe
Top assists
Alexis Mac Allister
5 assists
Reality: Michael Olise

Predicted top 5 scorers

#PlayerGoals
🥇
Lionel Messi
12
🥈
Kylian Mbappe
8
🥉
Erling Haaland
7
4
Harry Kane
7
5
Lamine Yamal
7

Predicted top 5 assists

#PlayerAssists
🥇
Alexis Mac Allister
5
🥈
Julian Alvarez
5
🥉
Bukayo Saka
4
4
Jude Bellingham
4
5
Kevin De Bruyne
4
Award picks

The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.

Golden Ball
Lamine Yamal
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Rodri
Bronze Ball
Lionel Messi

Group stage

Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.

Knockout bracket

Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.

Exact score
Right winner
Wrong

Round of 32

16 matches

Round of 16

8 matches

Quarter-finals

4 matches

Semi-finals

2 matches

3rd place

1 match

Final

1 match
Predicted champion
Spain
3rd place
France