Back to Progressive
Progressive · Round-by-round simulation
GPT-5 Nano
Accuracy70.8%
Champion
Spain
Runner-up
Argentina
Third place
France
Reality: England
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe
9 goals
Top assists
Bukayo Saka
6 assists
Reality: Michael Olise
Predicted top 5 scorers
| # | Player | Goals |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Kylian Mbappe | 9 |
| 🥈 | Harry Kane | 7 |
| 🥉 | Lionel Messi | 7 |
| 4 | Breel Embolo | 6 |
| 5 | Lamine Yamal | 6 |
Predicted top 5 assists
| # | Player | Assists |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Bukayo Saka | 6 |
| 🥈 | Dani Olmo | 5 |
| 🥉 | Ousmane Dembele | 5 |
| 4 | Kevin De Bruyne | 4 |
| 5 | Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
Award picks
The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.
Golden Ball
Lionel Messi
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Mikel Oyarzabal
Bronze Ball
Fabian Ruiz
Group stage
Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.
Knockout bracket
Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.
Exact score
Right winner
Wrong
Round of 32
16 matchesRound of 16
8 matchesQuarter-finals
4 matchesSemi-finals
2 matches3rd place
1 matchFinal
1 matchPredicted champion
Spain
3rd place
France
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
3rd place
Final
Predicted champion
Spain
3rd place
France