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Progressive · Round-by-round simulation

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Accuracy73.1%
Champion
Argentina
Reality: Spain
Runner-up
Spain
Reality: Argentina
Third place
England
Top scorer
Lionel Messi
12 goals
Reality: Kylian Mbappe
Top assists
Kylian Mbappe
6 assists
Reality: Michael Olise

Predicted top 5 scorers

#PlayerGoals
🥇
Lionel Messi
12
🥈
Kylian Mbappe
9
🥉
Erling Haaland
8
4
Harry Kane
7
5
Breel Embolo
6

Predicted top 5 assists

#PlayerAssists
🥇
Kylian Mbappe
6
🥈
Lionel Messi
5
🥉
Enzo Fernandez
4
4
James Rodriguez
4
5
Martin Odegaard
4
Award picks

The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.

Golden Ball
Kylian Mbappe
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Jude Bellingham
Bronze Ball
Mikel Oyarzabal

Group stage

Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.

Knockout bracket

Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.

Exact score
Right winner
Wrong

Round of 32

16 matches

Round of 16

8 matches

Quarter-finals

4 matches

Semi-finals

2 matches

3rd place

1 match

Final

1 match
Predicted champion
Argentina
3rd place
England