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Anthropic
Progressive · Round-by-round simulation

Claude Sonnet 4.6

Accuracy38.9%
Champion
Spain
Runner-up
Argentina
Third place
France
Reality: England
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe
8 goals
Top assists
Lionel Messi
6 assists
Reality: Michael Olise

Predicted top 5 scorers

#PlayerGoals
🥇
Kylian Mbappe
8
🥈
Erling Haaland
8
🥉
Lionel Messi
8
4
Ousmane Dembele
7
5
Breel Embolo
6

Predicted top 5 assists

#PlayerAssists
🥇
Lionel Messi
6
🥈
Ruben Vargas
5
🥉
Kylian Mbappe
5
4
Martin Odegaard
5
5
Michael Olise
5

Group stage

Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.

Knockout bracket

Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.

Exact score
Right winner
Wrong

Round of 32

16 matches

Round of 16

8 matches

Quarter-finals

4 matches

Semi-finals

2 matches

3rd place

1 match

Final

1 match
Predicted champion
Spain
3rd place
France