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Anthropic
Progressive · Round-by-round simulation

Claude Sonnet 4.6

Accuracy72.9%
Champion
Spain
Runner-up
Argentina
Third place
France
Reality: England
Top scorer
Erling Haaland
8 goals
Reality: Kylian Mbappe
Top assists
Lionel Messi
6 assists
Reality: Michael Olise

Predicted top 5 scorers

#PlayerGoals
🥇
Erling Haaland
8
🥈
Kylian Mbappe
8
🥉
Lionel Messi
8
4
Ousmane Dembele
7
5
Breel Embolo
6

Predicted top 5 assists

#PlayerAssists
🥇
Lionel Messi
6
🥈
Alexis Mac Allister
5
🥉
Jude Bellingham
5
4
Kylian Mbappe
5
5
Martin Odegaard
5
Award picks

The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.

Golden Ball
Mikel Oyarzabal
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Lautaro Martinez
Bronze Ball
Bukayo Saka

Group stage

Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.

Knockout bracket

Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.

Exact score
Right winner
Wrong

Round of 32

16 matches

Round of 16

8 matches

Quarter-finals

4 matches

Semi-finals

2 matches

3rd place

1 match

Final

1 match
Predicted champion
Spain
3rd place
France