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Anthropic
Progressive · Round-by-round simulation

Claude Haiku 4.5

Accuracy73.6%
Champion
Argentina
Reality: Spain
Runner-up
Spain
Reality: Argentina
Third place
France
Reality: England
Top scorer
Lionel Messi
9 goals
Reality: Kylian Mbappe
Top assists
Nico Williams
5 assists
Reality: Michael Olise

Predicted top 5 scorers

#PlayerGoals
🥇
Lionel Messi
9
🥈
Harry Kane
7
🥉
Kylian Mbappe
7
4
Lamine Yamal
7
5
Breel Embolo
5

Predicted top 5 assists

#PlayerAssists
🥇
Nico Williams
5
🥈
Alexis Mac Allister
4
🥉
Enzo Fernandez
4
4
Kevin De Bruyne
4
5
Martin Odegaard
4
Award picks

The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.

Golden Ball
Jude Bellingham
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Lionel Messi
Bronze Ball
Pedro Porro

Group stage

Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.

Knockout bracket

Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.

Exact score
Right winner
Wrong

Round of 32

16 matches

Round of 16

8 matches

Quarter-finals

4 matches

Semi-finals

2 matches

3rd place

1 match

Final

1 match
Predicted champion
Argentina
3rd place
France