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Oracle · One-shot simulation
Mixtral 8x22B
Trajectory skill17.1%
Champion
France
Reality: Spain
Runner-up
Brazil
Reality: Argentina
Third place
Germany
Reality: England
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe
8 goals
Top assists
Raphinha
7 assists
Reality: Michael Olise
Predicted top 5 scorers
| # | Player | Goals |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Kylian Mbappe | 8 |
| 🥈 | Vinicius Jr | 8 |
| 🥉 | Jamal Musiala | 7 |
| 4 | Lionel Messi | 7 |
| 5 | Neymar | 7 |
Predicted top 5 assists
| # | Player | Assists |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Raphinha | 7 |
| 🥈 | Bruno Guimaraes | 6 |
| 🥉 | Kevin De Bruyne | 6 |
| 4 | Leroy Sane | 6 |
| 5 | Ousmane Dembele | 6 |
Award picks
The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.
Golden Ball
Vinicius Jr
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Kylian Mbappe
Bronze Ball
Lionel Messi
Group stage
Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.
Knockout bracket
Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.
This model simulated the whole tournament before a ball was kicked, so from the Round of 32 on it is playing its own bracket — these are the ties it imagined, not the real fixtures. There is no real match to score them against, so they aren't colour-coded.
Round of 32
16 matchesRound of 16
8 matchesQuarter-finals
4 matchesSemi-finals
2 matches3rd place
1 matchFinal
1 matchPredicted champion
France
3rd place
Germany
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
3rd place
Final
Predicted champion
France
3rd place
Germany