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Oracle · One-shot simulation
Grok 4.20
Trajectory skill44.9%
Champion
Brazil
Reality: Spain
Runner-up
Argentina
Third place
Spain
Reality: England
Top scorer
Erling Haaland
9 goals
Reality: Kylian Mbappe
Top assists
Martin Odegaard
7 assists
Reality: Michael Olise
Predicted top 5 scorers
| # | Player | Goals |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Erling Haaland | 9 |
| 🥈 | Lamine Yamal | 8 |
| 🥉 | Lautaro Martinez | 8 |
| 4 | Vinicius Jr | 8 |
| 5 | Cristiano Ronaldo | 6 |
Predicted top 5 assists
| # | Player | Assists |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Martin Odegaard | 7 |
| 🥈 | Alexis Mac Allister | 6 |
| 🥉 | Kevin De Bruyne | 6 |
| 4 | Alexis Vega | 5 |
| 5 | Alphonso Davies | 5 |
Award picks
The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.
Golden Ball
Vinicius Jr
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Neymar
Bronze Ball
Lionel Messi
Group stage
Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.
Knockout bracket
Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.
This model simulated the whole tournament before a ball was kicked, so from the Round of 32 on it is playing its own bracket — these are the ties it imagined, not the real fixtures. There is no real match to score them against, so they aren't colour-coded.
Round of 32
16 matchesRound of 16
8 matchesQuarter-finals
4 matchesSemi-finals
2 matches3rd place
1 matchFinal
1 matchPredicted champion
Brazil
3rd place
Spain
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
3rd place
Final
Predicted champion
Brazil
3rd place
Spain