Back to Oracle
OpenAI
Oracle · One-shot simulation

GPT-5 Nano

Trajectory skill17.0%
Champion
Brazil
Reality: Spain
Runner-up
France
Reality: Argentina
Third place
Netherlands
Reality: England
Top scorer
Raul Jimenez
5 goals
Reality: Kylian Mbappe
Top assists
Kevin De Bruyne
4 assists
Reality: Michael Olise

Predicted top 5 scorers

#PlayerGoals
🥇
Raul Jimenez
5
🥈
Santiago Gimenez
5
🥉
Breel Embolo
4
4
Jonathan David
4
5
Kai Havertz
4

Predicted top 5 assists

#PlayerAssists
🥇
Kevin De Bruyne
4
🥈
Achraf Hakimi
3
🥉
Amad Diallo
3
4
Bruno Fernandes
3
5
Granit Xhaka
3
Award picks

The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.

Golden Ball
Kylian Mbappe
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Vinicius Jr
Bronze Ball
Lionel Messi

Group stage

Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.

Knockout bracket

Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.

This model simulated the whole tournament before a ball was kicked, so from the Round of 32 on it is playing its own bracket — these are the ties it imagined, not the real fixtures. There is no real match to score them against, so they aren't colour-coded.

Round of 32

16 matches

Round of 16

8 matches

Quarter-finals

4 matches

Semi-finals

2 matches

3rd place

1 match

Final

1 match
Predicted champion
Brazil
3rd place
Netherlands