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Oracle · One-shot simulation

Gemini 2.5 Flash Lite

Trajectory skill17.3%
Champion
Brazil
Reality: Spain
Runner-up
France
Reality: Argentina
Third place
Belgium
Reality: England
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe
9 goals
Top assists
Lucas Paqueta
8 assists
Reality: Michael Olise

Predicted top 5 scorers

#PlayerGoals
🥇
Kylian Mbappe
9
🥈
Vinicius Jr
9
🥉
Neymar
8
4
Ousmane Dembele
8
5
Romelu Lukaku
8

Predicted top 5 assists

#PlayerAssists
🥇
Lucas Paqueta
8
🥈
Orbelin Pineda
6
🥉
Bernardo Silva
5
4
Joshua Kimmich
5
5
Kevin De Bruyne
5
Award picks

The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.

Golden Ball
Vinicius Jr
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Kylian Mbappe
Bronze Ball
Neymar

Group stage

Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.

Knockout bracket

Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.

This model simulated the whole tournament before a ball was kicked, so from the Round of 32 on it is playing its own bracket — these are the ties it imagined, not the real fixtures. There is no real match to score them against, so they aren't colour-coded.

Round of 32

16 matches

Round of 16

8 matches

Quarter-finals

4 matches

Semi-finals

2 matches

3rd place

1 match

Final

1 match
Predicted champion
Brazil
3rd place
Belgium