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Oracle · One-shot simulation

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Trajectory skill24.4%
Champion
Brazil
Reality: Spain
Runner-up
France
Reality: Argentina
Third place
Germany
Reality: England
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe
12 goals
Top assists
Kylian Mbappe
9 assists
Reality: Michael Olise

Predicted top 5 scorers

#PlayerGoals
🥇
Kylian Mbappe
12
🥈
Jamal Musiala
8
🥉
Vinicius Jr
8
4
Harry Kane
7
5
Lionel Messi
7

Predicted top 5 assists

#PlayerAssists
🥇
Kylian Mbappe
9
🥈
Florian Wirtz
8
🥉
Ismaila Sarr
7
4
Lucas Paqueta
7
5
Neymar
6
Award picks

The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.

Golden Ball
Kylian Mbappe
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Neymar
Bronze Ball
Vinicius Jr

Group stage

Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.

Knockout bracket

Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.

This model simulated the whole tournament before a ball was kicked, so from the Round of 32 on it is playing its own bracket — these are the ties it imagined, not the real fixtures. There is no real match to score them against, so they aren't colour-coded.

Round of 32

16 matches

Round of 16

8 matches

Quarter-finals

4 matches

Semi-finals

2 matches

3rd place

1 match

Final

1 match
Predicted champion
Brazil
3rd place
Germany