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Oracle · One-shot simulation
Claude Fable 5
Trajectory skill47.8%
Champion
Spain
Runner-up
France
Reality: Argentina
Third place
Brazil
Reality: England
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe
8 goals
Top assists
Pedri
7 assists
Reality: Michael Olise
Predicted top 5 scorers
| # | Player | Goals |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Kylian Mbappe | 8 |
| 🥈 | Lamine Yamal | 8 |
| 🥉 | Vinicius Jr | 8 |
| 4 | Erling Haaland | 6 |
| 5 | Harry Kane | 6 |
Predicted top 5 assists
| # | Player | Assists |
|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | Pedri | 7 |
| 🥈 | Achraf Hakimi | 6 |
| 🥉 | Neymar | 6 |
| 4 | Ousmane Dembele | 6 |
| 5 | Alexis Mac Allister | 5 |
Award picks
The model's individual-award answers, separate from its top-scorer table.
Golden Ball
Kylian Mbappe
Real winner: Rodri
Silver Ball
Vinicius Jr
Bronze Ball
Lionel Messi
Group stage
Predicted standings for the 12 groups. Green = team qualified in reality.
Knockout bracket
Predicted single-elimination path from the Round of 32 to the final. Click any match for the full breakdown.
This model simulated the whole tournament before a ball was kicked, so from the Round of 32 on it is playing its own bracket — these are the ties it imagined, not the real fixtures. There is no real match to score them against, so they aren't colour-coded.
Round of 32
16 matchesRound of 16
8 matchesQuarter-finals
4 matchesSemi-finals
2 matches3rd place
1 matchFinal
1 matchPredicted champion
Spain
3rd place
Brazil
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
3rd place
Final
Predicted champion
Spain
3rd place
Brazil