AIWC26 · LumenIA
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Alibaba

Qwen 3.7 Plus

Alibaba

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
2–0
70% of runs
xG · Spain
2.00
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
0.30
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
50.0%
0/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 100%Draw: 0%🇦🇷 Argentina: 0%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.70 /g
    7 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.70 /g
    7 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Rodri
    0.70 /g
    7 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Alex Baena
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇦🇷Julian Alvarez
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    60%
    6/10
  • 2🇪🇸Rodri
    20%
    2/10
  • 3🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    20%
    2/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#12–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalLamine YamalWinner
#22–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Dani OlmoRodriWinner
#32–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#42–0🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#52–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel MessiLamine YamalWinner
#62–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Dani OlmoMikel OyarzabalWinner
#72–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#82–0🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#92–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Dani OlmoMikel OyarzabalWinner
#102–1🇪🇸 SpainLionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalLamine YamalWinner