AIWC26 · LumenIA
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Alibaba

Qwen 3.7 Max

Alibaba

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
2–0
50% of runs
xG · Spain
1.90
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
0.40
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
55.0%
1/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 100%Draw: 0%🇦🇷 Argentina: 0%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    1.10 /g
    11 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 3🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Rodri
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Nico Williams
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇦🇷Rodrigo De Paul
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Rodri
    70%
    7/10
  • 2🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    20%
    2/10
  • 3🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    10%
    1/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#12–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalLamine YamalWinner
#22–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine YamalMikel OyarzabalWinner
#32–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#42–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#52–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Dani OlmoRodriWinner
#62–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#72–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Dani OlmoRodriWinner
#82–1🇪🇸 SpainLionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal, Mikel OyarzabalMikel OyarzabalWinner
#92–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Dani OlmoRodriWinner
#101–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact