AIWC26 · LumenIA
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Moonshot

Moonshot Kimi K2

Moonshot

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
2–0
80% of runs
xG · Spain
2.00
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
0.20
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
50.0%
0/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 100%Draw: 0%🇦🇷 Argentina: 0%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 3🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Rodri
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Fabian Ruiz
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Pedri
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇪🇸Alex Baena
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Rodri
    100%
    10/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#12–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#22–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#32–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal, Lionel MessiRodriWinner
#42–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#52–0🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Mikel OyarzabalRodriWinner
#62–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#72–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#82–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#92–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal, Lionel MessiRodriWinner
#102–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Dani OlmoRodriWinner