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Mixtral 8x22B
Mistral
10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).
Modal score
2–1
100% of runs
xG · Spain
2.00
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
1.00
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
50.0%
0/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 100%Draw: 0%🇦🇷 Argentina: 0%
Expected scorers
- 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal1.00 /g10 in 10
- 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi0.80 /g8 in 10
- 3🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal0.50 /g5 in 10
- 4🇪🇸Rodri0.40 /g4 in 10
- 5🇦🇷Lautaro Martinez0.20 /g2 in 10
Expected assists
- 1🇪🇸Rodri0.70 /g7 in 10
- 2🇦🇷Enzo Fernandez0.70 /g7 in 10
- 3🇪🇸Dani Olmo0.60 /g6 in 10
- 4🇪🇸Fabian Ruiz0.30 /g3 in 10
- 5🇪🇸Pedri0.30 /g3 in 10
Expected MVP
- 1🇪🇸Rodri100%10/10
All 10 simulations
Click a row to inspect| Run | Score | Winner | Top scorer(s) | MVP | vs reality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Winner |
| #2 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Rodri, Lamine Yamal, Lautaro Martinez | Rodri | Winner |
| #3 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Winner |
| #4 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Winner |
| #5 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Winner |
| #6 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Winner |
| #7 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Rodri, Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Winner |
| #8 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Rodri, Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Winner |
| #9 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Winner |
| #10 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Rodri, Lamine Yamal, Lautaro Martinez | Rodri | Winner |