AIWC26 · LumenIA
← No History Variant
Meta

Llama 3.3 70B

Meta

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
2–0
50% of runs
xG · Spain
1.50
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
0.80
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
35.0%
1/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 60%Draw: 0%🇦🇷 Argentina: 40%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 3🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Lautaro Martinez
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Rodri
    0.60 /g
    6 in 10
  • 3🇦🇷Rodrigo De Paul
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Enzo Fernandez
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    50%
    5/10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    40%
    4/10
  • 3🇪🇸Rodri
    10%
    1/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#12–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalLamine YamalWinner
#21–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLionel Messi, Lautaro Martinez, Mikel OyarzabalLionel MessiWrong
#32–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalLamine YamalWinner
#41–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLionel Messi, Lautaro Martinez, Mikel OyarzabalLionel MessiWrong
#51–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLionel Messi, Lautaro Martinez, Mikel OyarzabalLionel MessiWrong
#62–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalLamine YamalWinner
#71–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#82–0🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#91–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#102–0🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner