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GPT-5.6 Terra
OpenAI
10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).
Modal score
1–1
60% of runs
xG · Spain
1.40
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
1.00
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
20.0%
0/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 40%Draw: 60%🇦🇷 Argentina: 0%
Expected scorers
- 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal0.80 /g8 in 10
- 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi0.70 /g7 in 10
- 3🇪🇸Lamine Yamal0.50 /g5 in 10
- 4🇦🇷Lautaro Martinez0.20 /g2 in 10
- 5🇦🇷Julian Alvarez0.10 /g1 in 10
Expected assists
- 1🇪🇸Dani Olmo0.40 /g4 in 10
- 2🇪🇸Lamine Yamal0.40 /g4 in 10
- 3🇦🇷Lionel Messi0.30 /g3 in 10
- 4🇪🇸Pedri0.30 /g3 in 10
- 5🇪🇸Nico Williams0.20 /g2 in 10
Expected MVP
- 1🇪🇸Rodri50%5/10
- 2🇦🇷Emiliano Martinez20%2/10
- 3🇪🇸Unai Simon20%2/10
- 4🇪🇸Pedri10%1/10
All 10 simulations
Click a row to inspect| Run | Score | Winner | Top scorer(s) | MVP | vs reality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Julian Alvarez, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal | Rodri | Winner |
| #2 | 1–1 | Draw | Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal | Emiliano Martinez | Wrong |
| #3 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal | Pedri | Winner |
| #4 | 1–1 | Draw | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Wrong |
| #5 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal | Rodri | Winner |
| #6 | 1–1 | Draw | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lautaro Martinez | Emiliano Martinez | Wrong |
| #7 | 1–1 | Draw | Lionel Messi, Dani Olmo | Rodri | Wrong |
| #8 | 1–1 | Draw | Lionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal | Unai Simon | Wrong |
| #9 | 1–1 | Draw | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lautaro Martinez | Unai Simon | Wrong |
| #10 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal | Rodri | Winner |