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DeepSeek

DeepSeek R1 0528

DeepSeek

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
1–0
30% of runs
xG · Spain
1.10
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
0.50
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
73.4%
3/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 60%Draw: 40%🇦🇷 Argentina: 0%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 3🇦🇷Rodrigo De Paul
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Enzo Fernandez
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
  • 5🇪🇸Rodri
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Rodri
    90%
    9/10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    10%
    1/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#11–0🇪🇸 SpainLionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal, Dani OlmoRodriExact
#22–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Dani OlmoRodriWinner
#31–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#41–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#52–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel MessiRodriWinner
#60–0DrawLionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalRodriWrong
#72–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#80–0DrawMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel MessiLionel MessiWrong
#91–1DrawMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel MessiRodriWrong
#101–1DrawLionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalRodriWrong