AIWC26 · LumenIA
← Final Test
Alibaba

Qwen 3.7 Plus

Alibaba

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
2–1
60% of runs
xG · Spain
1.60
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
1.10
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
40.0%
1/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 70%Draw: 10%🇦🇷 Argentina: 20%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Lautaro Martinez
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Pedri
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Enzo Fernandez
    0.60 /g
    6 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇦🇷Rodrigo De Paul
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    70%
    7/10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    20%
    2/10
  • 3🇦🇷Emiliano Martinez
    10%
    1/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#12–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#21–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#31–0🇪🇸 SpainLamine YamalLamine YamalExact
#42–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#52–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel MessiLamine YamalWinner
#62–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Julian Alvarez, Nico WilliamsLamine YamalWinner
#71–1DrawLamine Yamal, Lionel MessiEmiliano MartinezWrong
#82–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Dani OlmoLamine YamalWinner
#91–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#102–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Dani OlmoLamine YamalWinner