AIWC26 · LumenIA
← Final Test
Alibaba

Qwen 3.7 Max

Alibaba

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
2–1
80% of runs
xG · Spain
1.80
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
1.10
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
40.0%
0/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 80%Draw: 10%🇦🇷 Argentina: 10%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Lautaro Martinez
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Pedri
    0.70 /g
    7 in 10
  • 3🇦🇷Rodrigo De Paul
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Enzo Fernandez
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 5🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    40%
    4/10
  • 2🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    40%
    4/10
  • 3🇦🇷Emiliano Martinez
    10%
    1/10
  • 4🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    10%
    1/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#12–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalMikel OyarzabalWinner
#21–1DrawLamine Yamal, Lionel MessiEmiliano MartinezWrong
#32–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#42–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#52–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalMikel OyarzabalWinner
#62–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#71–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#82–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalMikel OyarzabalWinner
#92–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalLamine YamalWinner
#102–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine YamalMikel OyarzabalWinner