AIWC26 · LumenIA
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Moonshot

Moonshot Kimi K2

Moonshot

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
1–2
70% of runs
xG · Spain
1.20
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
2.10
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
0.0%
0/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 0%Draw: 10%🇦🇷 Argentina: 90%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 3🇦🇷Lautaro Martinez
    0.60 /g
    6 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇦🇷Rodrigo De Paul
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Pedri
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 3🇦🇷Enzo Fernandez
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇦🇷Julian Alvarez
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    90%
    9/10
  • 2🇦🇷Emiliano Martinez
    10%
    1/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#12–3🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel MessiLionel MessiWrong
#21–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#31–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#41–1DrawLamine Yamal, Lionel MessiEmiliano MartinezWrong
#51–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#61–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#71–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel MessiLionel MessiWrong
#82–3🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel MessiLionel MessiWrong
#91–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#101–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong