AIWC26 · LumenIA
← Final Test
xAI

Grok 4.20

xAI

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
1–2
60% of runs
xG · Spain
1.40
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
2.00
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
0.0%
0/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 0%Draw: 40%🇦🇷 Argentina: 60%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Lautaro Martinez
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Alexis Mac Allister
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Pedri
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 5🇦🇷Julian Alvarez
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    100%
    10/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#11–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#21–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#32–2DrawMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#41–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#51–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#61–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#72–2DrawMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#81–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#92–2DrawMikel Oyarzabal, Lautaro Martinez, Lamine Yamal, Lionel MessiLionel MessiWrong
#102–2DrawMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martinez, Lamine YamalLionel MessiWrong