AIWC26 · LumenIA
← Final Test
OpenAI

GPT-5.6 Sol

OpenAI

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
1–0
50% of runs
xG · Spain
1.50
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
0.50
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
75.0%
5/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 100%Draw: 0%🇦🇷 Argentina: 0%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Mikel Merino
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.80 /g
    8 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Julian Alvarez
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Dani Olmo
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Pedro Porro
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇪🇸Nico Williams
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Rodri
    90%
    9/10
  • 2🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    10%
    1/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#11–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#22–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#32–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#41–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#51–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#62–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Mikel MerinoRodriWinner
#71–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#81–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#92–1🇪🇸 SpainLionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal, Mikel MerinoMikel OyarzabalWinner
#102–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel MessiRodriWinner