← Final Test
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).
Modal score
2–1
90% of runs
xG · Spain
1.90
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
1.00
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
45.0%
0/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 90%Draw: 10%🇦🇷 Argentina: 0%
Expected scorers
- 1🇦🇷Lionel Messi1.00 /g10 in 10
- 2🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal0.90 /g9 in 10
- 3🇪🇸Lamine Yamal0.70 /g7 in 10
- 4🇪🇸Mikel Merino0.20 /g2 in 10
Expected assists
- 1🇦🇷Rodrigo De Paul0.60 /g6 in 10
- 2🇦🇷Julian Alvarez0.40 /g4 in 10
- 3🇪🇸Dani Olmo0.40 /g4 in 10
- 4🇪🇸Pedri0.30 /g3 in 10
- 5🇪🇸Nico Williams0.30 /g3 in 10
Expected MVP
- 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal60%6/10
- 2🇪🇸Rodri30%3/10
- 3🇪🇸Unai Simon10%1/10
All 10 simulations
Click a row to inspect| Run | Score | Winner | Top scorer(s) | MVP | vs reality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal | Lamine Yamal | Winner |
| #2 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal | Lamine Yamal | Winner |
| #3 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal | Lamine Yamal | Winner |
| #4 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal | Lamine Yamal | Winner |
| #5 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal | Lamine Yamal | Winner |
| #6 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Mikel Merino | Rodri | Winner |
| #7 | 1–1 | Draw | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi | Unai Simon | Wrong |
| #8 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Mikel Merino | Rodri | Winner |
| #9 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Lionel Messi, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal | Lamine Yamal | Winner |
| #10 | 2–1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | Lamine Yamal, Lionel Messi | Rodri | Winner |