AIWC26 · LumenIA
← Final Test
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Gemini 2.5 Pro

Google

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
2–1
50% of runs
xG · Spain
1.60
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
0.50
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
70.0%
4/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 100%Draw: 0%🇦🇷 Argentina: 0%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Fabian Ruiz
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Mikel Merino
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇪🇸Rodri
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Nico Williams
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Alex Grimaldo
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Pedri
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇦🇷Alexis Mac Allister
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Rodri
    100%
    10/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#11–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#21–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#32–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, RodriRodriWinner
#42–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Fabian RuizRodriWinner
#52–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#62–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Nico WilliamsRodriWinner
#71–0🇪🇸 SpainFabian RuizRodriExact
#82–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Mikel MerinoRodriWinner
#91–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#102–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Mikel MerinoRodriWinner