AIWC26 · LumenIA
← Final Test
DeepSeek

DeepSeek V4 Pro

DeepSeek

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
2–1
60% of runs
xG · Spain
1.60
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
1.10
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
40.0%
1/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 70%Draw: 10%🇦🇷 Argentina: 20%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.30 /g
    3 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Mikel Merino
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇦🇷Enzo Fernandez
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇦🇷Rodrigo De Paul
    0.70 /g
    7 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Nico Williams
    0.60 /g
    6 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.60 /g
    6 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Pedri
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
  • 5🇦🇷Enzo Fernandez
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇪🇸Rodri
    60%
    6/10
  • 2🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    20%
    2/10
  • 3🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    10%
    1/10
  • 4🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    10%
    1/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#12–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#21–1DrawLionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalRodriWrong
#32–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine YamalRodriWinner
#41–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Enzo FernandezLionel MessiWrong
#52–1🇪🇸 SpainLionel Messi, Mikel OyarzabalMikel OyarzabalWinner
#61–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#72–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lamine YamalLamine YamalWinner
#81–0🇪🇸 SpainMikel OyarzabalRodriExact
#92–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Mikel MerinoRodriWinner
#102–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Mikel MerinoRodriWinner