AIWC26 · LumenIA
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DeepSeek

DeepSeek R1 0528

DeepSeek

10 independent simulations of the WC26 Final. Numbers below are averaged over the 10 runs (expected values).

Modal score
1–2
50% of runs
xG · Spain
1.30
🇪🇸 Spain
xG · Argentina
1.50
🇦🇷 Argentina
Accuracy vs reality
15.0%
0/10 exact score
Outcome distribution across 10 runs
🇪🇸 Spain: 30%Draw: 20%🇦🇷 Argentina: 50%
Expected scorers
  • 1🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    1.00 /g
    10 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Mikel Oyarzabal
    0.90 /g
    9 in 10
  • 3🇦🇷Lautaro Martinez
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 4🇪🇸Rodri
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
  • 5🇪🇸Pedri
    0.10 /g
    1 in 10
Expected assists
  • 1🇦🇷Alexis Mac Allister
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 2🇪🇸Lamine Yamal
    0.50 /g
    5 in 10
  • 3🇪🇸Pedri
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 4🇦🇷Enzo Fernandez
    0.40 /g
    4 in 10
  • 5🇪🇸Pedro Porro
    0.20 /g
    2 in 10
Expected MVP
  • 1🇦🇷Lionel Messi
    50%
    5/10
  • 2🇪🇸Rodri
    30%
    3/10
  • 3🇪🇸Unai Simon
    10%
    1/10
  • 4🇦🇷Emiliano Martinez
    10%
    1/10

All 10 simulations

Click a row to inspect
RunScoreWinnerTop scorer(s)MVPvs reality
#11–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#21–1DrawMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel MessiUnai SimonWrong
#31–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#41–1DrawMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel MessiEmiliano MartinezWrong
#51–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel MessiLionel MessiWrong
#62–1🇪🇸 SpainLionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal, RodriRodriWinner
#71–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#82–1🇪🇸 SpainMikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, PedriRodriWinner
#91–2🇦🇷 ArgentinaLionel Messi, Mikel Oyarzabal, Lautaro MartinezLionel MessiWrong
#102–1🇪🇸 SpainLamine Yamal, Lionel Messi, Mikel MerinoRodriWinner